2040 Baseline Scenario

The baseline scenario shows the projected areas of population growth and decline between 2000 and 2040, if the region were to continue past development practices. The results show decline at the core and widespread, scattered development in new areas. Because of this decline, new areas must absorb more than 100 percent of the region’s expected population growth.

Note: Both scenarios show same amount of new population added to the region.

Characteristics

• Land uses remain separated
• Greater reliance on automobiles for daily tasks
• 176,000 acres of rural and agricultural land converted to developed uses
• 47,000 people and 27,000 jobs leave the core of the metro
• Widespread, scattered new growth requires an estimated $8.7 billion in expenditures on local infrastructure during the period
  

Citizen comments on the scenarios from June 3, 2009, open house (pdf)

 

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